The stock surged 7.0% as Gulf Keystone's operational resilience amidst severe regional disruptions and improving export arrangements notably exceeded market expectations, particularly on cash flow management and ramping production.
- Production was severely impacted by two precautionary shut-ins totaling nearly five months, with H1 2026 gross average production at 14,600 barrels per day vs 44,100 bbl/d in H1 2025.
- Post shut-in, production ramped quickly to nearly 40,000 bbl/d by mid-August, supported by well workovers and resumed exports under extended interim agreements.
- Adjusted EBITDA rose 26% to $52 million, driven by better realized prices and disciplined cost control despite lower volumes.
- The company reported a $12.5 million dividend paid and maintained a robust balance sheet by reducing expenditures and minimizing free cash outflow.
- Longer-term upside hinges on securing full production sharing contract entitlements and transitioning interim export agreements to international pricing, with potential production growth targeted in 2027.
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