Golden Butterfly Portfolio

Equal allocation across five asset classes for all-weather stability.

Allocation Breakdown

5 Assets
US Total Stock Market
US Small-Cap Value
Long-Term Bonds
Short-Term Bonds
Gold

Target Allocation

Asset Class Weight Example Ticker
US Total Stock Market
20% VTI
US Small-Cap Value
20% VBR
Long-Term Bonds
20% TLT
Short-Term Bonds
20% SHY
Gold
20% GLD

What each 20% sleeve is there to do

20%

Total US stocks

The broad engine for company growth and dividends.

20%

Small-cap value

A deliberate tilt toward smaller, cheaper US companies.

20%

Long-term bonds

Interest-rate sensitivity and ballast during some slowdowns.

20%

Short-term bonds

A steadier reserve with less rate sensitivity.

20%

Gold

A separate source of risk that may respond differently to inflation and stress.

Rebalancing a €100,000 portfolio

After market moves, the five sleeves may no longer be equal. With a €100,000 portfolio, each target is €20,000. The sells and buys below bring this example back to 20% per sleeve.

Worked rebalance from current values to equal targets
SleeveCurrentTargetTrade
Total US stocks€28,000€20,000Sell €8,000
Small-cap value€22,000€20,000Sell €2,000
Long-term bonds€18,000€20,000Buy €2,000
Short-term bonds€17,000€20,000Buy €3,000
Gold€15,000€20,000Buy €5,000
Total€100,000€100,000€10,000 sold / bought

Taxes and trading costs can change the best way to rebalance. New contributions can often fill underweight sleeves before anything is sold.

How it differs from simpler stock-and-bond mixes

Risk Level

Low to Moderate

Rebalance Frequency

Annually

Advantages

  • Very low maximum drawdown
  • Equal-weight simplicity
  • All-weather protection
  • Small-cap value tilt for growth

Disadvantages

  • US-only equities
  • Heavy gold allocation controversial
  • May lag in strong bull markets
  • Requires 5 funds to implement

About This Portfolio

The Golden Butterfly divides equally across five uncorrelated asset classes, aiming for stability across all economic conditions. The small-cap value tilt provides a growth kicker, while gold and bonds protect against different types of economic stress.

Historical Context

The Golden Butterfly was developed by Tyler of PortfolioCharts.com as an improvement on Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio. It adds small-cap value stocks for additional returns while maintaining the equal-weight simplicity.

Who It's For

Investors seeking stability with reasonable returns across all economic environments. Those who want a simple, equal-weight approach.

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