Permanent Portfolio

Harry Browne's simple four-way split designed for any economic condition.

Allocation Breakdown

4 Assets
US Stocks
Long-Term Bonds
Gold
Cash/T-Bills

Target Allocation

Asset Class Weight Example Ticker
US Stocks
25% VTI
Long-Term Bonds
25% TLT
Gold
25% GLD
Cash/T-Bills
25% SHV

Risk Level

Low

Rebalance Frequency

Annually

Advantages

  • Historically very low drawdowns
  • Simple equal-weight allocation
  • Protection across all economic regimes
  • Low correlation between assets

Disadvantages

  • Only 25% equity exposure limits returns
  • 25% in cash/T-bills earns minimal real return
  • May significantly underperform in bull markets
  • Requires rebalancing discipline

About This Portfolio

Harry Browne's Permanent Portfolio splits equally between stocks (prosperity), bonds (deflation), gold (inflation), and cash (recession). Each 25% allocation is designed to thrive in one of four economic environments, so the portfolio never faces a scenario where all assets decline.

Historical Context

Created by Harry Browne in the 1980s. The portfolio has delivered remarkably consistent real returns with minimal drawdowns. It's based on the premise that we cannot predict which economic regime will prevail.

Who It's For

Ultra-conservative investors who want minimal drawdowns and steady purchasing power preservation.

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