All Glossary Terms
Planning Tools

Monte Carlo Simulation

Definition

Monte Carlo simulation models thousands of possible future outcomes using random sampling to assess the probability of different portfolio performance scenarios. It helps answer "what if" questions about retirement planning.

Formula

Run N simulations: for each, generate random annual returns from a distribution, compound over T years, measure outcomes

Example

Running 10,000 simulations of a 30-year retirement with 4% withdrawals might show a 95% chance of not running out of money — giving you confidence in your withdrawal rate.

How AllInvestView Uses This

AllInvestView's Monte Carlo tool projects portfolio outcomes across thousands of scenarios. See also the FIRE guide and Safe Withdrawal Rate.